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Terns Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (TERN)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Terns reported Q2 2025 net loss of $24.1M ($0.26 per share) with total operating expenses of $27.4M and interest income of $3.35M; no revenue was reported . EPS was above S&P Global consensus by ~$0.03 (actual -$0.26 vs. -$0.286 estimate), while revenue was in line with $0.0 consensus .
  • Management sharpened strategic focus: prioritize oncology and rapidly advance TERN-701 toward pivotal studies; seek partners for metabolic assets and “does not plan to invest in clinical development in metabolic disease beyond year end 2025” .
  • Cash, cash equivalents and marketable securities of $315.4M support runway “into 2028,” enabling execution through key readouts: TERN-701 Phase 1 CARDINAL 6‑month MMR data in 4Q25 and TERN-601 Phase 2 FALCON topline in early 4Q25 .
  • Catalysts: September 2025 TERN-701 educational webinar; pivotal-path clarity for TERN-701 and obesity competitive/tolerability profile for TERN-601 from 4Q25 data readouts .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Rapid execution and visible catalysts: dose expansion for TERN-701 initiated at the high end of the dose range; 4Q25 readout (including 6‑month MMR) positioned to inform pivotal path .
  • Strong TERN-601 momentum: Phase 2 FALCON enrollment completed; 12‑week efficacy/tolerability data expected early 4Q25; Phase 1 data highlighted differentiated PK/tolerability profile and meaningful 28‑day weight loss up to 5.5% .
  • Balance sheet strength: $315.4M of cash and marketable securities and runway into 2028 provide funding clarity through multiple clinical readouts .
  • Management quote: “We are focusing the company in oncology and on rapidly advancing TERN‑701 towards a pivotal trial… The company seeks to partner… metabolic assets” .

What Went Wrong

  • Continued operating losses with rising R&D as development scales: net loss of $24.1M vs. $22.7M y/y; R&D $20.4M vs. $18.4M y/y .
  • No product revenue; income statement centers on operating expenses and interest income, underscoring dependence on external catalysts and capital markets .
  • Lack of published earnings call transcript for Q2 2025 constrains visibility into Q&A clarifications and near‑term OpEx trajectory or partnering timing (no transcript found in our corpus for the period).

Financial Results

P&L summary (GAAP)

Metric ($USD Millions, except per-share)Q4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
R&D Expense$18.00 $18.72 $20.35
G&A Expense$7.95 $8.71 $7.03
Total Operating Expenses$25.95 $27.43 $27.38
Interest Income$4.14 $3.64 $3.35
Net Loss$(21.80) $(23.91) $(24.09)
Net Loss per Share (Basic/Diluted)$(0.24) $(0.26) $(0.26)

Notes: Company did not report revenue; loss from operations reflects operating expenses .

Balance sheet (selected)

Metric ($USD Millions)Dec 31, 2024Mar 31, 2025Jun 30, 2025
Cash, Cash Equivalents & Marketable Securities$358.16 $334.26 $315.45
Total Assets$363.93 $339.32 $320.42
Total Liabilities$18.06 $13.27 $15.19
Total Stockholders’ Equity$345.87 $326.04 $305.23

Share count KPI

KPIQ4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
Weighted Avg Shares (Basic/Diluted)91.241M 91.474M 91.575M

Q2 2025 vs. Estimates (S&P Global)

MetricConsensusActualDelta
EPS (Primary)$(0.286)*$(0.26) +$0.03*
Revenue$0.0*No revenue reported N/A

Values marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Cash RunwayMulti‑year“Runway into 2028” (Q4’24/Q1’25) “Runway into 2028” (Q2’25) Maintained
TERN‑701 CARDINAL Data4Q 2025Additional safety/efficacy with 6‑mo MMR in 4Q25 4Q25 efficacy/safety including 6‑month MMR; informs pivotal path Maintained
TERN‑601 FALCON Topline4Q 202512‑week topline in 4Q25 12‑week topline in early 4Q25 Narrowed timing
Strategy for Metabolic Assets2025+Advancing GLP‑1 (Phase 2) and GIPR discovery; evaluate THR‑β opportunities Focus on oncology; seek partners for metabolic assets; no further metabolic clinical development beyond YE25 New/Refined focus

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

Note: No Q2 2025 earnings call transcript was found in our document set; themes reflect sequential disclosures across prior press releases.

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q4’24 and Q1’25)Current Period (Q2’25)Trend
Oncology focus / TERN‑701Dose escalation completed; positive interim data with compelling molecular responses; no DLTs; DDI supports co‑meds Dose expansion at high end (320/500 mg QD) with 4Q25 6‑mo MMR readout to inform pivotal path; educational webinar planned Increasing conviction; pivotal planning
Obesity / TERN‑601Phase 2 FALCON initiated; aims for competitive 12‑wk weight loss with simple titration Phase 2 enrollment completed; topline early 4Q25; Phase 1 data highlighted 5.5% 28‑day WL and good tolerability Execution on track; differentiation narrative
Strategic focus / partneringAdvancing GLP‑1; exploring THR‑β; GIPR discovery Focus on oncology; partner metabolic assets; halt metabolic clinical spend post‑YE25 Shift toward partnering/non‑core optimization
Funding runwayInto 2028 Into 2028 Stable funding outlook

Management Commentary

  • “We are focusing the company in oncology and on rapidly advancing TERN‑701 towards a pivotal trial, with the goal of ultimately bringing a potential best-in-class therapy to people living with CML. The company seeks to partner our portfolio of potentially best-in-class metabolic assets and does not plan to invest in clinical development in metabolic disease beyond year end 2025.” — Amy Burroughs, CEO .
  • “We look forward to sharing a CARDINAL data set in the fourth quarter that will provide a read through to the primary endpoint in a registrational trial – the achievement of a major molecular response at six months.” — Amy Burroughs, CEO .
  • “In addition, supportive preclinical data at EHA 2025 highlighted greater potency of TERN‑701 compared to asciminib against several resistance mutations…” .

Q&A Highlights

  • No Q2 2025 earnings call transcript was found in our document set; therefore, Q&A themes and management clarifications from a call are unavailable for this quarter (we searched for earnings-call-transcript in Q3’25–Q3’25 window and found none).

Estimates Context

  • EPS modest beat: Q2 2025 EPS of $(0.26) vs. S&P Global consensus of $(0.286)*; variance likely reflects net loss consistent with stable OpEx and $3.35M interest income .
  • Revenue in line: No revenue reported; S&P Global consensus $0.0* .
  • The company did not provide non‑GAAP adjustments; results are GAAP.
    Values marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Near‑term binary catalysts: 4Q25 readouts for TERN‑701 (6‑mo MMR) and TERN‑601 (12‑wk topline) will frame 2026 strategy and valuation inflections .
  • Strategic focus improves capital efficiency: oncology‑first, partner‑led path for metabolic assets, and runway into 2028 reduce financing overhang versus typical clinical-stage peers .
  • TERN‑701 differentiation watchpoints: EHA‑cited preclinical potency vs. asciminib and dose‑expansion design (320/500 mg) set up an efficacy/safety benchmark comparison in 4Q25 .
  • TERN‑601 risk/reward: Phase 2 designed to demonstrate competitive weight loss with simple titration and favorable tolerability; early 4Q25 topline is key to partnering discussions .
  • OpEx trending with development progress: R&D ticked higher y/y as programs advanced; monitor sequential OpEx and cash burn against 2028 runway as multiple studies scale .
  • Trading setup: September educational webinar may pre‑position the TERN‑701 narrative, but the primary stock drivers remain 4Q25 efficacy/safety readouts and partnering updates .

Sources: Q2 2025 press release and 8-K (including attached Exhibit 99.1) ; Q1 2025 and Q4 2024 press releases for trend ; ADA/TERN‑601 data update (June 23, 2025) . S&P Global estimates used for consensus figures (marked with *).